Background for November 1993 Space Weather Event Study

(D. Knipp and contributing scientists)

Table of Contents:

Event Goals and Foucus Areas
Event Selection
Solar/Solar Wind Background
Magnetosphere/Ionosphere

Event Goals and Focus Areas:

Event Study Goal

To follow a significant solar-terrestrial event from its origin at the Sun and to trace the flow of particles and energy from the subsequent magnetic storm through the dissipative elements of the magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere.

Solar Relations to Study

Identification and Timing of Solar Drivers at the Leading Edge of the Storm

GEM Focus Area

Global Energy Flow Analysis Through Magnetic Storms:

General Magnetospheric Relations to Study and Understand
  1. Solar Wind Drivers--Initial and Main Phase of Storm
  2. Onset and Decline of Main Phase
  3. Modes of Recovery
  4. Role of Field Aligned Currents in Energy Transfer Process
    Convection-Ring Current Decay
    Substorm-Dst relations
  5. Relative Contributions of Convection and Charge Exchange
Specific Magnetospheric Relations for This Study
  1. ULF Wave Activity and Storm Timing
    a. Do ULF waves play a role in particle accelerations
  2. Geosynchronous Energetic Particle Dynamics
    a. Where do particles go when they are depleted?
    b. How do populations get rebuilt?
  3. Variations in plasmaspheric drifts appear correlated to Kp
    a. Is the causal or incidental?
  4. Variations in Energetic Electrons associated with particular coronal hole
    a. What was unique in the solar terrestrial environment that generated enhanced populations of 6.0- 7.8 MeV electrons during the recurrences of this particular coronal hole

CEDAR Focus Areas

Identify Limitations and Deficiencies in Observations and Models.
Explore new modeling and data assimilation methods. Ionospheric Relations to Study, Understand and/or Validate:

  1. Global Description of Neutral Winds, Temperatures and Neutral Composition
  2. Global Description of Joule heating
  3. Dynamics of the Low Latitude Trough
  4. High and Mid Latitude Convection Dynamics Relating to Magnetosphere and Thermosphere Changes
  5. Structuring of High Latitude Patches, Polar Cap Arcs and Scintillation
  6. Ionospheric Morphology as Sensed by Ground and Space-Based Tomography
  7. Plasmaspheric Morphology and Dynamics as they relate to Ionospheric Variations
  8. Energy Transfer to the Mesosphere
  9. Model Validation
  10. Ionospheric Signatures of Substorm Onset

Event selection based on:

* Major magnetic storm classification (-105 nT Dst)
* Availability of solar wind at storm onset
* Reported storm Ionospheric/Magnetospheric effects
* Status as recurrent activity
* Likely association with increased flux of relativistic electrons
* Availability of magnetospheric data from satellites


Solar/Solar Wind Background

Mid 1993-Mid 1994: Robust, recurrent geomagnetic storms (Geomagnetic indices, geosynchronous satellites, SAMPEX satellite, D. Baker 1995 GEM and CEDAR presentations)

Late 1993: Sector boundary structure began to reorganize (S. Watari, 1995 IUGG presentation)

Early November 1993 storm was 4th recurrence out of 5 associated with long-lived coronal hole and high speed recurrent stream (Aug- Nov 93 Ap index, Aug-Dec Dst index, IMP-8 plasma data, Yohkoh soft X-ray images, D. Knipp 1995 GEM,CEDAR, SIP and SOLTIP presentations)

In each of 5 recurrences enhancements of 6.0-7.8 Mev magnetospheric electrons observed by LANL geosynchronous satellites. Similar enhancements were not seen in other high speed streams during this interval (G. Reeves).

Yohkoh imagery clearly showed coronal hole from 30 Oct and subsequent days (Yohkoh imagery, A. McAllister)

Mauna Loa K-Coronometer shows faint CME on east solar limb at 2000 - 2100 UT on 31 Oct (High Altitude Observatory NCAR, A. Hundhausen). The impact of this ejection, if any, on the early November 1993 storm remains to be determined.

An M-class flare associated with an active region near the coronal hole was observed at 2230 UT on 1 Nov (Yohkoh Imagery and GOES-7 Xray observations) Impact, if any, on early November 1993 storm remains to be determined.


Magnetosphere/Ionosphere

Late 2 Nov-early 3 Nov:
3 Nov, ~06 UT:
3 Nov, ~07 UT:
3 Nov, 17 UT-19 UT
3 Nov, 20 UT-21 UT
3 Nov 21 UT - 22 UT
3 Nov 22 UT- 23 UT
3 Nov 23 UT -24 UT
4 Nov 00 UT-01 UT
4 Nov 01 UT -22 UT
4 Nov
Early 5 Nov
5 Nov -7 Nov
8 Nov
11 Nov

Original Concept For Study

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Last modified: September 6, 1995 .